Analytics Economy USA

Treasury Yields Decline as Jobless Claims Rise and Labor Data Disappoints

Treasury Yields Decline as Jobless Claims Rise and Labor Data Disappoints
Derin Thorpe / Getty Images
  • PublishedJune 6, 2025

US Treasury yields declined on Thursday as investors reacted to new data suggesting potential softness in the labor market, CNBC reports.

The 10-year Treasury yield fell by more than 2 basis points to 4.343%, while the 2-year yield slipped over 1 basis point to 3.864%. Meanwhile, the yield on the 30-year Treasury bond dropped more than 3 basis points to 4.849%. In the bond market, yields move inversely to prices.

The dip in yields followed a larger-than-expected increase in jobless claims. The Labor Department reported that initial applications for unemployment benefits rose to 247,000 last week, exceeding the Dow Jones estimate of 236,000. This marked the highest level of weekly jobless claims in eight months.

Thursday’s move extended a downward trend in yields that began the previous day, following a series of weaker-than-anticipated economic indicators. Notably, the Institute for Supply Management reported that the US services sector contracted slightly in May, with activity dropping to 49.9%—just under the 50% level that separates expansion from contraction. Analysts had forecast a reading of 52.1%.

In addition, private sector employment data from ADP showed just 37,000 jobs were added in May, far below the expected 110,000. These figures have fueled concerns that the labor market may be cooling, although analysts say the data does not yet point to an imminent recession.

“The numbers are disappointing, but not alarming enough to suggest the US economy is heading toward a downturn,” Deutsche Bank noted in a research briefing.

Investors are now closely watching for Friday’s official jobs report, which will include nonfarm payroll growth and the unemployment rate for May.

Joe Yans

Joe Yans is a 25-year-old journalist and interviewer based in Cheyenne, Wyoming. As a local news correspondent and an opinion section interviewer for Wyoming Star, Joe has covered a wide range of critical topics, including the Israel-Palestine war, the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the 2024 U.S. presidential election, and the 2025 LA wildfires. Beyond reporting, Joe has conducted in-depth interviews with prominent scholars from top US and international universities, bringing expert perspectives to complex global and domestic issues.